This is not the chart of an AI or crypo
It is the chart of India BSE small & medium IPO index Source: Amit Jeswani
US equites sector valuations vs. history
>>> Energy as the standout cheap one< trades at a material discount to the S&P 500 due to lower growth characteristics and concerns about the duration of the cycle. Source: Goldman Sachs, TME
Apollo just said that bonds are now more attractive than equities...
The spread between corporate bond yields and the S&P 500 earnings yield just hit its highest since 2008, at 1.5%. This spread was negative for nearly 13 years before turning positive in mid-2022. Even in 2020 this spread did not turn positive amidst the global lockdowns. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Apollo
Value Stocks are trading near the cheapest levels of the past 30 years
Source: Barchart
What’s the BIG SHORT right now? ESG Stocks.
Hedge funds are calling out fake green claims and overblown valuations boosted by stimulus. Blackrock & State Street are shutting down some ESG funds. Liquidation of ESG funds in 2023 is already larger than the last 3 years combined, And the year is not over.... Source: Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA, Bloomberg
A $90 BILLION VALUATION FOR OPENAI?
OpenAI is in discussions to possibly sell shares in a move that would boost the company’s valuation from $29 billion to somewhere between $80 billion and $90 billion, according to a Wall Street Journal report citing people familiar with the talks. Employees would be allowed to sell their existing shares rather than the company issuing new ones, the Wall Street Journal said. In April, OpenAI picked up just over $300 million in funding from backers such as Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, Thrive and K2 Global at a valuation of $29 billion. That was separate to a big investment from Microsoft announced earlier this year, which closed in January. The size of Microsoft’s investment was believed to be around $10 billion. Source: Techcrunch
Is the US equity market ripe for a short squeeze?
As highlighted by Goldman Sachs PB: "the amount of shorting in US equities since mid-August is the largest in six months and ranks in the 98th percentile vs. the past decade." Meanwhile, the level of short gamma is the highest in a long time. Dealers have been forced to sell deltas as we have moved lower (chart by Tier1Alpha). This has pressured the market. But we need to keep in mind that gamma works both ways, so a possible bounce from here would force dealers to buy back all that delta they sold recently. Source: The Market Ear
Chinese property stocks tumbled the most in nine months as concern over a possible China Evergrande Group liquidation added to fresh signs of stress across the industry
A Bloomberg Intelligence gauge of developer shares fell as much as 6.4% Monday, taking its loss in valuation this year to $55 billion. Evergrande, which scrapped key creditor meetings at the last minute and said it must revisit its restructuring plan, dived 25%. China Aoyuan Group Ltd. was the biggest drag on the gauge, slumping by a record 76% after shares resumed trading. Sentiment has worsened dramatically in recent days as investors brace for years of pain from the ailing sector, with policy support failing to resolve liquidity woes. While developers are pinning their hopes on the upcoming Golden Week holiday period to revive home sales, a rapid cooling of a late-August rally in property shares shows any relief may be short lived. Source: Bloomberg
