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As highlighted by Sentiment Trader, market breadth for Nasdaq 100 QQQ is indeed a growing concern
The Nasdaq 100 continues to notch record high after record high. Many of its stocks are not only lagging, but they're falling to monthly, quarterly, or even yearly lows and below their 10-, 50-, and 200-day moving averages. This is not normal. In fact, it's never happened before to this degree. There is a possibility that the average stock will catch up to the index, that is not how things usually pan out. Almost never, in fact. Risk is high in that index.
US vs. International stocks... 3 standard deviations above the mean...
Source: Charlie Bilello
2024 looking a LOT different than previous election years.
Will we see a return to the mean? Source: Trend Spider
S&P 500 $SPX outperformed Global Stocks this week by the largest margin in 15 months...
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
Only 30% of the SP500 stocks have outperformed the index year-to-date.
This is slightly higher than the 29% that occurred in 2023. Since 1990, a streak of 2 consecutive years with such a low percentage has happened only during the 2000 Dot-com bubble. By comparison, the historic median is 49% which typically implied healthy market breadth. The S&P 500 has rallied 12% year-to-date largely driven by just a few tech stocks. A few stocks are driving the entire market. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Richard Bernstein Advisors
Inflow mania >>
Rubner: "Global equity funds have seen $190.5 Billion inflows YTD. This is the second largest equity inflows on record (only 2021 saw more inflows). This is +$1.7B worth of equity inflows per day." Source: The Market Ear
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