Global equity positioning by ctas is very, very long
Source: Markets & Mayhem, Goldman Sachs
Another big week of earnings coming up!
• Monday: $MNDY. • Tuesday: $HD, $NU, $SE. • Wednesday: $CSCO, $JD, $STNE, $TCEHY. • Thursday: $BILL, $WMT. Source: Earnings Whisper, App Economy Insight
Out of 20 valuation metrics, the SP500 is currently overvalued on 19 of them relative to historical levels
Source: Barchart
Nvidia ($NVDA) was the big loser, down over 8% on the week (its biggest weekly loss since Sept 2022...)
Will the stock repeat a similar de-bubbling process than the one which took place after the crypto/mining boom? (at the time, Nvidia chips were seeing growing demand from the crypto miners but the buzz faded when crypto crashed) Let's keep in mind that Nvida is now a much BIGGER WEIGHT in the key US equity indices than it used to be at the time... Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Within US equities, Large-cap technology stocks have corrected the most since the start of August as shown by declines in the "Magnificent 7" and NASDAQ index.
Source: Edward Jones
Short Sellers have lost a combined $175.2 Billion by betting against the market this year
Source: barchart
"Magnificent 7" stocks valuations are NOT cheap. Example: Apple
Apple's P/E Ratio: 30x 10-year average: 20x Apple's EV/EBITDA Ratio: 23x 10-year average: 14x Apple's Price to Sales Ratio: 7.5x 10-year average: 4.6x $AAPL Source: Charlie Bilello
On average, bubbles rise 217% during the 3 years leading up to the peak according to data from Morgan Stanley
Megacap Tech stocks are already up 200% year-to-date. Source: Barchart
