Bonds and equities re-correlate...The recent acceleration in yields appears to have had an effect on long-duration risk-assets...
Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Amazon reported second-quarter earnings on Thursday that sailed past analysts’ estimates and issued guidance that points to accelerating revenue growth
The stock rose more than 10% in extended trading. AMZN Amazon Q2 FY23: • Revenue +11% Y/Y to $134.3B ($3B beat). • Operating margin 6% (+3pp Y/Y). • FCF $7.9B TTM. • EPS $0.65. AWS: • Revenue +12% Y/Y to $22.1B. • Operating margin 24% (-4pp Y/Y). Q3 FY23 Guidance: • Revenue ~$140B ($2B beat). Source: App Economy Insights, CNBC
Robinhood now makes much more collecting interest on client cash than from its core business.
This is $234 million that RH's customers should be collecting but they are currently handling to the Trading App. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Robinhood
Do US cyclical equities look vulnerable given the extent of growth optimism currently priced in vs. the weakness of ISM manufacturing?
Source chart: Goldman
Treasuries haven’t been this ineffective as a stock hedge since the 1990s. The one-month correlation between the two assets is now at its highest reading since 1996
Source: Lisa Abramowicz, Bloomberg
Global Manufacturing PMIs and Global stocks seem to be in disagreement...
Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
What moves stock prices
Source: Brian Feroldi
Forward S&P 500 Performance by VIX Decile
While a low VIX indicates that investors are complacent and signal that unexpected negative events could push the VIX upwards (and thus equity markets downward), a low VIX reading isn’t necessarily something to fear. As shown on this chart courtesy of Todd Sohn, it is a typical characteristic of bull markets. Source: J-C Parets