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+1300% in a year, easy to think the move is done.
But as Bloomberg highlights, the Breakwave Tanker Shipping ETF (BWET) reflects deeper forces. Even before the conflict: - Aging fleet - Tight capacity - Sanctions limiting supply ➡️ The war accelerated existing trends. Now the question isn’t how far it’s gone, but what’s changed. Structural tightness remains: - Longer, more complex trade routes - Sourcing shifting farther away - Rising demand for shipping capacity ➡️ That’s why gains may not fully unwind, even with peace. As John K. notes: the story may shift from war-driven to fundamentally driven. The fundamentals still point to persistence. Source. Bloomberg
Bitcoin ETF's cumulative net inflows peaked at +$63B in October. Today (after the "massive" outflows) it's +$53B. That's NET NET +$53B in only two years.
Initially, most predictions were for $5-15B in the first year. This is an important context to consider when looking/writing about the $8B in outflows since 45% decline and/or the relationship between $BTC and Wall street, which has been overwhelmingly positive. h/t @JSeyff
Is the tech sector building a house of cards?
There are now 139 tech-related leveraged ETFs (108 long, 31 short). That is 3x more than the next largest sector (Financials). To put that in perspective: Tech now has more leveraged ETFs than Financials, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services COMBINED. 🤯 We’ve moved past simple indexing into a world of hyper-fragmented, high-octane gambling vehicles. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Arbor Research & Trading
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