Over the last 3 years, the US Money Supply (M2) has increased by 14%, US inflation (CPI) has increased by 18%, and National Debt has grown by 24%
And over that time the US dollar Index ETF has gained 19% while the Gold ETF has lost 5%. As eveyone predicted... Source: Charlie Bilello
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF was the first Bitcoin ETF to trade on a major exchange in the US, launched Q4 2021 at the height of the last bull market
The ETF currently holds 35,890 BTC, and is the oldest and largest fund in the space. How much Bitcoin does each ETFs hold? 👇 Source: Coingecko
The China technology ETF was launched in December 2009. Total returns since then...
China Tech ETF $CQQQ: +62% Nasdaq 100 ETF $QQQ: +832% Source: Charlie Bilello
The Total US Bond Market ETF now has a negative return over the last 7 years. $BND
Source: Charlie Bilello
Bond tracking ETF, $TLT, just closed at its lowest level since February 2011
The ETF is now officially down 50% from its high just 3 years ago in 2020. Yet, investors continue to desperately pour money into Treasuries despite the massive underperformance. Indeed, despite the rise in bond yields, investors keep piling into $TLT (iShares US Treasuries 20year+) etf. Another $750m last week as 60/40 portfolios are stubbornly allocating funds to this underperforming asset, hoping for a return to a disinflationary environment. As mentioned by Eric Balchunas / Bloomberg, it is quite rare seeing an ETF taking in so much money ($16b YTD, #2 overall) while being down so much and so consistently (especially when you can get just as much yield with no duration risk...). Such a behaviour happened with the China Internet ETF $KWEB... not a great omen... Source: Bloomberg, Eric Balchunas, Tavi Costa
$100k invested in the S&P 500 ETF 30 years ago would be worth over $1.7 million today
Was the road to 17x growth a straight line? Far from it as shown on the chart below by Charlie Bilello.
The longest duration bond ETF is now down 60% from its peak in March 2020
How is that possible? The 30-Year Treasury yield has moved from an all-time low of 0.8% in March 2020 up to 4.6% today. Long duration + Rising interest rates from extremely low levels = Pain $ZROZ Source: Charlie Bilello
US High Yield spreads moved down to 3.78% this week, the tightest we've seen since April 2022
Source: Charlie Bilello
