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French-Italian 10y spread dropped below 25 bp this morning.
It was 115 bp at the start of last year… En route to zero? Source: Stephane Deo on X, Eleva Capital, Bloomberg
Portugal might bring back enhanced tax incentives, just for Golden Visa investors.
A 20% flat tax on local income. 0% on foreign income. Basically NHR 1.0… but gated behind a Golden Visa. If this passes, will demand explode? Source: Alessandro Palombo, Forbes
ECB lowered interest rates for the 8th time in a year after inflation dipped <2% and the economy suffered repeated blows from US tariffs.
ECB cut the deposit rate by 25bps to 2% and reiterated that it’s not pre-committing to a particular path. ECB balance sheet shrank to €6.3tn. Note that ECB deposit rate has fallen below the German inflation rate for the first time since September 2023. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
European markets have outperformed the US this year.
Poland, the Czech Republic, and Austria have grown their market capitalization by 44%, 36%, and 33%, respectively. Next are Hungary, Spain, Luxembourg, Greece, and Germany. The US has been flat. Source: Global Markets Investor
Breaking news:
Karol Nawrocki has won Poland’s presidential election, the country’s electoral commission said, after a tight run-off vote against pro-EU rival Rafał Trzaskowski Source: FT
Europe stocks stage world-beating rally as trade war backfires.
8 of the world's 10 best-performing stock markets are in Europe this year, w/Germany's Dax rallying >30% in Dollar terms: Peripheral markets such as Slovenia, Poland, Greece, and Hungary also performing well. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
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