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5 Jul 2024

Britain wakes up to a new party in power after 14 years of Conservative rule.

Sir Keir Starmer’s Labour party is headed for a huge majority in the House of Commons after Rishi Sunak conceded defeat in the UK general election. With the final results still streaming in, a national exit poll suggests Starmer will become prime minister more than 400 of 650 Commons seats, with the Tories holding most likely around 110 seats, the party’s worst result in its 190-year history. Sunak, who won his seat of Richmond and Northallerton, said he took “responsibility for the loss”. A victorious Starmer had earlier declared: “The change begins right here. It’s now time for us to deliver.” Source: FT, Bloomberg

5 Jul 2024

The Economist in October 2020 (left) vs. today (right)

This week in The Economist: "Why Biden must withdraw - The president and his party portray themselves as the saviours of democracy. Their actions say otherwise"

4 Jul 2024

UK election

Source: No Context Brits on X

4 Jul 2024

Bets of a Kamala Harris nomination are exploding

Source: Bloomberg

4 Jul 2024

Kamala Harris and Joe Biden's odds of securing the Democratic presidential nomination have converged...

Source: Bloomberg, Michael McDonough

3 Jul 2024

Odds of Biden winning democratic 2024 presidential nominee are collapsing as NYT said Biden told ally he is weighing whether to continue in race

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3 Jul 2024

As of this morning, betting markets are giving VP Harris higher odds of being President after the 2024 Election than current President Biden.

The cross has happened. Source: Bespoke

3 Jul 2024

Biden betting odds in free fall as support within the Democrats crumbles.

Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

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