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Why are gold and digital gold (aka bitcoin) rallying?
Sometimes one chart is worth a thousand words... As explained by Tavi Costa, If easing monetary conditions with inflation re-accelerating is the next move, then this is probably the most compelling setup to own hard assets (and storer of values) that we've ever seen. Source: Tavi Costa, Crescat Capital, Bloomberg
This table explains why markets were soooo... happy yesterday.
As shown by Charlie Bilello: as compared to their December forecasts, the Fed is expecting higher Real GDP growth (2.1% vs. 1.4%), lower Unemployment (4.0% vs. 4.1%), & higher Core PCE Inflation (2.6% vs. 2.4%) but is still anticipating 3 rate CUTS this year. This uber-dovish and bullish for risk assets and gold...
Look at this base on silver... could it follow the steps of gold ?
Source chart: J-C Parets
Central banks demand matters a lot more than ETF flows for gold
Source: Bob Elliott, Bloomberg, Macrobond, The Daily Shot
What is a store of value?
A good store of value preserve the amount of goods / services money can buy over time. Example (simplified): - The average gold price in 1920 was $20.68 per ounce. Today it is worth $2,100 per ounce. A 100 fold increase. - The average house price in the US in 1920 was between $5,000 and $6,000. The average sales price of a new home in 2023 was $492,000. A 90 to 100 fold increase.
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