Mentions of Job Cuts in Earnings Calls Hits Pandemic Peak
Layoffs are being mentioned on US earnings calls at the HIGHEST rate since the pandemic, according to Bloomberg. Source: Bloomberg, Genevieve Roch-Decter, CFA
BREAKING: US NFP at 353k way above the estimated 185k, Wages came in hotter than expected +4.5% YoY vs +4.1% expected.
The December jobs report has been revised UP, showing 333,000 jobs added rather than the 216,000 originally reported. This breaks a 10-month trend of downward revisions in the reported jobs number. Meanwhile, average hourly earnings in January rose 0.6%, DOUBLING expectations. Unemployment rate held flat MoM at 3.7% (the Street was anticipating 3.8%). Note that according to the Household survey, the number of employed people dipped by 31k MoM, so US Non-farm-payroll report is not as hot as at 1st sight. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
The US Treasury will hold some of its largest-ever debt auctions in the coming three months in an effort to fill the yawning federal budget deficit.
The Treasury said on Wednesday it would increase the size of auctions at most maturities for the next three months, with two-year and five-year auctions hitting record sizes. The five-year auction in April, for $70bn, would be the biggest ever for debt with a maturity of two years or more. The US has been increasing its borrowing over the past few quarters, as the gap between government spending and tax revenue has grown. The federal deficit stood at $1.7tn last year. Source: FT https://lnkd.in/eSyQHXu9
Visualizing 150 Years of Exports for Top Economic Superpowers
Source: Visual Capitalist
No wonder the US is polarized...
Source: Michel A.Arouet
The two largest economies in Africa are under huge financial strain.
On Monday, Nigeria de facto devalued the naira by ~30% (after another ~30% devaluation in June). And Egypt is under pressure to devalue too, with the pound ~50% weaker in the black market. Source: Javier Blas Bloomberg
China Factory Activity Expands Again, Private Survey Shows
Source: Bloomberg, C.Barraud
BREAKING: Mortgage demand fell to a new 30-year low in January 2024, down 54% from the pandemic peak, according to Reventure.
Mortgage demand is down 14% over the last year and 40% from pre-pandemic levels. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, re:venture
