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17 Oct 2023

Italy 10y risk spread over German 10y bunds back >200bps as budget day arrives

Italy PM Meloni to unveil tax-cutting 2024 budget today amid debt worries. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

16 Oct 2023

BREAKING: A record 447,000 Americans are now working 2 full-time jobs, per Joe Consorti

Source: Barchart, Bloomberg

13 Oct 2023

The Interest Expense on US Public Debt rose to $883 billion over the past year, another record high

If it continues to increase at the current pace it will soon be the largest line item in the Federal budget, surpassing Social Security. Source: Charlie Bilello

13 Oct 2023

The United States is on an unsustainable fiscal path warns the IMF which projects the U.S. deficit to be 'elevated and persistent

Source: barchart, CBO

13 Oct 2023

Another $40 billion in US debt today

US national debt has jumped by $550 billion in the past 3 weeks. This is WAY above the pace of $2 trillion per year expected by the government. The US was at $31.4 trillion just 4 months ago. Debt has increased by $2.1 trillion in the past 4 months. Source: WallStreetSilver

12 Oct 2023

What to expect from today's US CPI data? Main take via JPM's market intelligence team

Source: JPM, TME

12 Oct 2023

The consumer is borrowing more than they can afford to pay

The consumer default rate on credit card loans from small lenders has seen a sharp spike to 7.51% This level is higher than the: - Dot Com bubble - Financial Crisis - C-19 With credit card interest rates still above 20%. Consumers are going to continue feeling the pressure. Source: Game of Trades

12 Oct 2023

Bank credit has now entered contraction territory. After witnessing one of sharpest declines on record

Since 1974, this has only happened ONCE: → The Financial Crisis. Back then, this metric reached levels as low as -5%. At the current rate, the risk of a credit event is on the rise. Source: Game of trades

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