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12 Aug 2024

The view from Apollo: Still no signs of a recession in the US

Source: Apollo

12 Aug 2024

Before the euro, Greece, Italy, Spain were adjusting for their lower productivity via currency devaluations each year.

Within the European currency union the only avenue left is adjusting via real wages pushing many people into poverty. Source: FT, Michel A.Arouet

12 Aug 2024

US banks are facing $517 Billion of Unrealized Losses - nobody wants interest rate cuts more than them

Source: Barchart, BofA

12 Aug 2024

Tax Revenue vs. GDP for Major Countries

Source: Visual Capitalist

7 Aug 2024

A very important chart which goes AGAINST hard landing scenario

"The source of the rise in the us unemployment rate is not job cuts but a rise in labor supply because of rising immigration. That is the reason why the Sahm rule doesn’t work. The Sahm rule was designed for a decline in labor demand, not a rise in immigration." - Torsten Slok (Apollo) Source: Mike Z. on X

6 Aug 2024

Why the ECB should keep interest rates at the lowest level possible explained in one chart

The Euro zone is an equilibrium where high debt countries like Italy, France and Spain run big deficits. The ECB enables this by capping yields when these spike like they did in 2022. This policy is an implicit subsidy of high debt countries by low debt ones... Source: Robin Brooks

5 Aug 2024

💥 Treasuries surge as traders bet on emergency Fed rate cut 💥

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5 Aug 2024

Deutsche Bank: "Why the BOJ has no choice and is merely prolonging the inevitable*

"at a gross balance sheet value of around 500% GDP or $20 trillion, the Japanese government's balance sheet is, simply put, one giant carry trade."

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