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Breaking: Hyperscaler Bond Issuance Soars
In 4+ months in 2026 it is already more than in 2025, and several times more than the average of previous years. Their Free Cash Flow is dropping to 0. -> They must sell stocks, or slow down AI CAPEX. Source: BraVoCycles Newsletter
Asset class total returns since 2011
Winners: Commodities +30.7%; Convertibles +18.7%; Nasdaq 100 +14.9%; US Small Caps +12.8% Losers: IG bonds 0%; Gold 0%; US Total bonds markets 0%; Long duration Treasuries -0.6%; Bitcoin -30.3% Source: Charlie Bilello
Trafigura just made $4.1 billion in 6 months.
That's more than its entire 2025 full year. October-December 2025 was the 2nd-best quarter in company history and the war hadn't even fully started yet. For context: → Trafigura full-year 2025 profit: $2.7 billion → Trafigura H1 2026 profit: $4.1 billion → Time elapsed: 6 months Source: Jack Prandelli on X
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