Gold is rising because of demand for "fallback money"
Source: Bloomberg
The current drawdowns across the Magnificent Seven:
• $AAPL Apple: 5.0% • $META Meta: 5.2% • $AMZN Amazon: 11.9% • $MSFT Microsoft: 12.3% • $GOOGL Alphabet: 17.7% • $NVDA Nvidia: 20.3% • $TSLA Tesla: 48.6% Source: Koyfin
This Goldman chart shows that September is historically weak for global equities and risk assets w/avg return at -2.31%.
Sept 16th has been a seasonal turning point, w/2H Sept being the worst performing 2 weeks of the year, BUT maybe this seasonality gets pre-traded by market participants this year. Goldman says flow-of-funds, such as the quarter-end pension rebalancing can explain the annual weakness in September. Source: HolgerZ, GS
Increase in CapEx spending over the last year...
-Google $GOOGL: +91% -Amazon $AMZN: +55% -Microsoft $MSFT: +54% -Meta $META: +33% Source: Charlie Bilello
Crude Oil closed below $70 a barrel today for the first time since last December and is now down 3% on the year.
Source: Charlie Bilello
Asset class returns as of end of August and since 2011
Source: Charlie Bilello
Sector Heatmap Performance for August 🔥
📈 Consumer Staples were the biggest winners $XLP 📉 Energy was the biggest loser $XLE Source: Trend Spider
The S&P 500 is up 18.4% in the first 168 trading days of 2024, the 15th best start to a year going back to 1928 and best start to a presidential election year ever.
Source: Charlie Bilello
