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YARDENI on savings rate and labor supply shortage :
“.. retiring Baby Boomers are likely the reason that the personal saving rate is falling; they’re depressing the rate as they spend their retirement funds and no longer have earnings to save. In addition, they are spending at a record pace on labor-intensive services (restaurants, travel and entertainment, and health care), thus boosting labor demand ..” Source: LESG, Yardeni research
Where did all the stocks go?
Since the late 1990s, the number of US publicly traded companies has plunged from just over 8K in 1996 to about 4.6K in 2022. (It’s bounced back a bit more recently.) Source: Quartr
Asset managers and leveraged funds remain very, very long US equities
Source: Bloomberg
European banks are apparently doing brilliant business in Russia…
In 2023, they paid 4 times more taxes to the Russian state than they did before the war in Ukraine... According to the FT, Deutsche Bank has increased its profits in Russia from €26mln before the war to €40mln in 2023, while Commerzbank has more than tripled its profits to €51mln. The German state holds a 15.8% stake in Commerzbank. Italian and Austrian banks are doing a killing as well… Western lenders have benefited from the imposition of sanctions on most of the Russian financial sector, which has denied access to the Swift international interbank payment system. That made international banks a financial lifeline between Moscow and the West. Source: FT, HolgerZ
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