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The global asset landscape
The global asset landscape (as of 1/1/2023) by JESSE MYERS
US MAY EMPIRE STATE FACTORY INDEX FALLS TO -31.8 (lowest since Jan.2023), EST. -3.9
The orders index also slid by the most since April 2020, hitting the lowest level since the start of the year. The shipments gauge plummeted more than 40 points. Source: Bloomberg
Is the next Commodity Super-Cycle right around the corner?
In recent years, commodity prices have reached a 50-year low relative to overall equity markets (S&P 500). Historically, lows in the ratio of commodities to equities have corresponded with the beginning of new commodity supercycles. As Visual Capitalist's Bruno Venditti shows in the infographic, using data from Incrementum AG and Crescat Capital LLC, the relationship between commodities and U.S. equities has varied greatly over the last five decades.
The U.S. government's interest expense is now an annualized $928.9 billion
Source: Jeff Weniger
China Inflation Weakens to 2-Year Low on Uneven Recovery
China’s consumer inflation slowed to the weakest pace in two years in April while producer prices fell further into deflation, fueling debate about whether more policy stimulus is needed. The consumer price index rose 0.1% last month from a year earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics said Thursday, reflecting muted domestic demand as well as base effects from last April’s Shanghai lockdown. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, was unchanged at 0.7%. Producer prices fell 3.6% in April as commodity costs softened. The figure was more than March’s drop and deeper than economists had expected. Source: Bloomberg
US inflation continues to cool down
US April CPI inflation +4.9% year/year vs. +5% estiated & +5% in prior month … Core CPI +5.5% year/year vs. +5.5% est. & +5.6% prior
Incredible: Amazon's AWS revenue over the last 12 months ($83 billion) was higher than the revenue of 460 companies in the S&P 500
From $3 billion to $83 billion in less than 10 years (>40% annualized growth). Source: Charlie Bilello
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