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In the US, searches for "second job" reach an all time high, surpassing 2008 financial crisis and COVID pandemic levels
Source: Kalshi
Good chart by @GoldmanSachs on AI exposure by industry
Source: Goldman Sachs, @tanayj on X
There are now 157k more Unemployed Persons than Job Openings in the US.
Excluding the 2020 recession, this is the widest spread we've seen since 2017. Labor market continues to cool... Source: Charlie Bilello
President Trump says he is considering $1,000 - $2,000 stimulus checks for all taxpayers using tariff revenue.
Source; Geiger Capital on X
According to CME Fed watch tool, odds of a Fed rate cut in October are now 99%...
So done deal after the poor ADP payrolls numbers...
Kalshi is currently pricing in a 57% chance that the 🇺🇸 Government shutdown will last more than 10 days
Source: Kalshi
‼️Global central banks RATE CUT RUSH:
Central banks have slashed rates 168 times over the last 12 months, the fastest pace since the 2020 crisis. This is also the third-quickest pace over the last 25 years, behind the 249 rate cuts seen in the Great Financial Crisis. Source: Global Markets Investors, BofA
Nothing against Mexico, Singapore, or Oman; but...
Source: Michael Brown, Bloomberg
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