China on Friday announced a five-year package totaling 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) to tackle local government debt problems, while signaling more economic support would come next year.
The debt swap program, however, fell short of many investors’ expectations for more direct fiscal support. Source: Bloomberg
China economic surprise index turns positive
Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg
Just in 🔉 Reuters sources: China's leading legislative body weighs approval of new fiscal package exceeding 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion dollars) on November 8
Sources: China intends to approve raising new 10 trillion yuan debt through special treasury and local government bonds in upcoming years. fiscal plan to allocate 6 trillion yuan for local government debt and up to 4 trillion yuan for idle land and property acquisition. China could unveil enhanced fiscal measures if trump secures U.S. presidency.
CHINA'S INDUSTRIAL PROFITS FELL TO THE LOWEST SINCE THE COVID CRISIS
Industrial profits at large Chinese companies PLUMMETED 27.1% year-over-year in September, the most since the COVID CRISIS. This is after they FELL 17.8% in August. China is in deep economic trouble. Source: Global Markets Investor, Bloomberg
😱 The shocking chart of the day: CHINESE DEBT SIZE IS ABSOLUTELY MIND-BLOWING😱
China's debt-to-GDP ratio hit a MASSIVE 366% in Q1 2024, a new record. Since 2008, the ratio has more than DOUBLED. Breakdown: Non-Financial Corporates: 171% Government: 86% Households: 64% Financial Corporates: 45% Even with this huge debt, China cannot achieve a 5% GDP growth target. How much additional leverage do they need to boost growth? And at what cost? Source: Global Markets Investor, IIF, Wells Fargo
Sometimes things come at you fast: MSCI China now outperforming MSCI USA year to date
Source: Louis-Vincent Gave, Gavekal
😱Yesterday's China equity market performance in one chart !!!
Below is a heat map of today's returns of the 2,230 stocks which belong to the Shanghai Composite index... Not a single one was down (the worst one was actually flat). And 10 stocks gained more than 20%... Source: Oktay Kavrak, CFA
BCA's Marko Papic (@Geo_papic) sees Chinese monetary & fiscal stimulus as a "fairly big deal": "This is Beijing’s 'Whatever It Takes' moment.
Effectively, Beijing has reached a point where the policy focus shifts from guarding against moral hazard to guarding against political risks." He bets, that we are at the start of a major rotation out of US assets. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
