Will Silver be next?
Source: Trend Spider
Gold is overshooting its time trend by 5 sigma
While the real gold price (after adjusted for U.S., CPI) is at the record highs, as this Alpine Macro chart shows. Source: Chen Zhao
According to the FT:
Tether, the world’s biggest stablecoin company, has held talks about investing in gold mining, seeking to deploy its vast crypto profits into bullion. -> FT: "The company has held discussions with mining and investment groups about investing in the entire gold supply chain, from mining and refining to trading and royalty companies, according to four people familiar with the recent talks. While gold has been a physical store of value for thousands of years and bitcoin has only existed as a digital instrument since 2009, there is a growing affinity between some industry executives. Tether chief executive Paolo Ardoino has likened gold to “natural bitcoin”. “I know people think that bitcoin is ‘digital gold’,” he said in a speech in May. “I prefer to think in bitcoin terms, I think gold is our source of nature.” However, within the conservative gold mining sector, Tether’s interest has been greeted with surprise and questions about whether the unconventional newcomer will succeed. “They like gold. I don’t think they have a strategy,” said one mining executive. Source: FT
🚨 Goldman Sachs has doubled down on its optimistic forecast for gold, maintaining a structural bullish view on the precious metal
The investment bank predicts gold will reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025 in its base case scenario, with further growth to $4,000 by mid-2026. Goldman’s analysis indicates that a recession could accelerate ETF inflows and drive prices even higher to $3,880. More dramatically, extreme risk events such as challenges to Federal Reserve independence or shifts in U.S. reserve policy could potentially catapult gold prices to $4,500 by year-end 2025. Source: www.goldsilver.com https://lnkd.in/eCau26HP
Total Returns over Last 20 Years:
US Stock Market $VTI: +658.4% / Gold $IAU: +658.4%, Source: Charlie Bilello
Gold knows
Gold is following the Japanese 30 year, pricing in "spillover" risks... Source: TME, LSEG workspace
Gold hit $3.600 for the 1st time
Source: Barchart
What's next for gold?
Here's the technical analysis view from J-C Parets: "After spending months coiling beneath the 423.6% Fibonacci extension, Gold futures are now resolving higher. This has been the pattern time and time again. Gold pauses at an extension level, builds energy, then launches to the next target. Every one of those continuation patterns has marked the beginning of another leg higher, and this one looks no different. As long as this breakout sticks, we think 4,500 is next". Source: All Star Charts team
