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14 Nov 2024

Both initial jobless claims and continuing claims were lower than expected last week.

🔊 Initial Jobless Claims came in at 217K versus the consensus forecast of 223K. 🔊 The 4-week average came in at 221K versus the consensus forecast of 226K. Source: CMG Venture Group

14 Nov 2024

BREAKING 🚨 PPI data came out…

YoY Growth: • PPI (Oct), 2.4% Vs. 2.3% Est. (prev. 1.8%) • Core PPI, 3.1% Vs. 3.0% Est. (prev. 2.8%) MoM Growth: • PPI (Oct), 0.2% Vs. 0.2% Est. (prev. 0.0%) • Core PPI, 0.3% Vs. 0.2% Est. (prev. 0.2%) Source: Stocktwits

8 Nov 2024

Fed cuts rates by 25bps in unanimous decision as expected. So what did the Fed do?

👉 FED LOWERS BENCHMARK RATE 25 BPS TO 4.5%-4.75% RANGE 👉 FED SAYS RISKS TO GOALS REMAIN 'ROUGHLY IN BALANCE’ 👉 FED: LABOR MARKET CONDITIONS HAVE 'GENERALLY EASED' No dissent on this rate-cut decision. 🚨 Key changes: - Most notably, removing language that Fed has "gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainable toward 2 percent". - Adding that labor market conditions have "generally eased" since earlier in the year, replacing "job gains have slowed". Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

8 Nov 2024

China on Friday announced a five-year package totaling 10 trillion yuan ($1.4 trillion) to tackle local government debt problems, while signaling more economic support would come next year.

The debt swap program, however, fell short of many investors’ expectations for more direct fiscal support. Source: Bloomberg

5 Nov 2024

China economic surprise index turns positive

Source: David Ingles, Bloomberg

4 Nov 2024

It doesn’t matter who becomes president. The trend is clear:

More debt creation, more money printing Source: Seek Wiser, Quinten | 048.eth

4 Nov 2024

😱 US JOB MARKET IS MUCH WEAKER THAN IT SEEMS 😱

Since January 2023, the number of jobs have been revised DOWN by A MASSIVE 471,000, the most since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Monthly nonfarm payrolls have been revised DOWNWARD in 14 out of the last 21 months. Source: Global Markets Investor

1 Nov 2024

Core PCE is closer to 3 than 2

And ticked UP in the last month Source: Amy Niyom

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