The delinquency rate on commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) for offices spiked to 8.1% in July, the highest in 11 years.
The delinquency rate of office CMBS loans has QUADRUPLED in 1.5 years. Delinquencies are currently rising at a faster pace than during the 2008 Financial Crisis. A top AAA-rated CMBS experienced a $40 million loss in May for the first time since the 2008 Financial Crisis. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
American stock ownership is back at all-time highs
Source: Markets & Mayhem, Visual Capitalist
There is no free lunch in finance
Funds designed to protect investors from volatility failed to protect investors during periods of high volatility Source: FT, Barchart
The Japanese Yen Carry Trade unwinding is only 50% complete warns JP Morgan
Source: Win Smart
Putting yesterday's VIX intra-day high at 65 into historical perspective...
Source: Bloomberg, RBC
Historic day in volatility
The difference between the VIX's intra-day high (65) and close (38) was the highest EVER. Source: 3Fourteen Research thru Octavian Adrian Tanase
TS Lombard: "Our analysis of past volatility bouts shows that equities take 4-5 weeks, on average, before a sustained recovery begins.
Markets tend to rebound on oversold conditions such as the current ones, but investors often sell into that strength, which can lead to a relapse. This is what happened, for instance, in 2018, an episode that bears strong similarities to the current one." Source: TS Lombard, The Market Ear
The $VIX spiked 65% higher today, the 2nd largest 1-day % increase in history
(note: $VIX data goes back to 1990). Source: Charlie Bilello
