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The Bank of Japan (BOJ) has a real problem now as USDJPY surged up to 153 - a fresh 34-year-low for the yen against the dollar and below the level at which the BoJ last intervened...
Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com
Money market fund levels to record high of $6.111 trillion
Source: WinfieldSmart
Industrial Metals relative strength (vs. $SPX) ready to turn?
Source: Nautilus Research
Raoul Pal - Global Macro Investors (GMI) has shared this chart on X showing Global liquidity growing at a CAGR of 8%.
His view: "While everyone is worried about 3.5% inflation, the real issue is the ongoing 8% per annum debasement of currency, on top of inflation. Your hurdle rate to break even is around 12%, which is the 10-year average returns of the S&P 500...just to keep your purchasing power". Key takeaway: if you want to protect your purchasing power in a global monetary debasement, you have 3 choices: 1/ spend; 2/ invest into risk assets; 3/ invest into store of values
BREAKING: Interest rate futures are now pricing in just 2 interest rate cuts for the entire 2024.
This is the first time that markets are pricing-in LESS rate cuts than Fed guidance. Just 4 months ago, markets saw 6-8 rate cuts in 2024 with cuts beginning in March. Odds of a rate cut in June are down from ~60% before the CPI report to ~22% now. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, www.zerohedge.com
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