Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

26 Nov 2025

🚀 Big Tech Is Carrying the Entire Stock Market — Literally

Alphabet ($GOOGL) has been the single biggest driver of the S&P 500 this year… accounting for 19.4% of the index’s entire YTD gain. That’s what happens when you add $1.3 trillion in market cap in 11 months. Right behind it? Nvidia ($NVDA): +16.0% contribution (+$1.05T) Broadcom ($AVGO): +$520B Microsoft ($MSFT): +$380B Together with the rest of the mega-cap giants, the top 10 stocks now make up 59.4% of the S&P 500’s total gain this year. Which means the other 490 companies combined contributed just 40.6%. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, econovisuals

26 Nov 2025

Late November gonna late November?

Stocks bottomed on November 20 and have staged a pretty impressive three day rally. Exactly in line with normal seasonality... Source: Ryan Detrick, Carson

26 Nov 2025

Gold loves rising Japanese rates.

This remains a massive driver of the shiny metal, despite few talking about it on a daily basis. Source: The Market Ear

26 Nov 2025

88% chance Americans receive stimulus checks by next summer

Source: Kalshi

25 Nov 2025

Shoppers are showing up for Black Friday–Cyber Monday, but with tighter wallets.

According to Deloitte’s 2025 Black Friday–Cyber Monday survey: 🛍 82% of consumers plan to shop during the week (up from 79% in 2024) 💰 Expected spend is down 4% to an average of $622 💳 64% plan to use credit cards or buy now, pay later (BNPL) options to stretch budgets Both lower- and higher-income households say they’ll cut back It’s also now a true hybrid event: Shoppers expect to split their time 60% online / 40% in store 72% of Gen Z plan to shop in store on Black Friday Gen Z now drives about $20 of every $100 in holiday spend (vs. $4 five years ago) source : Deloitte

25 Nov 2025

It may be a short week, but Thanksgiving week has traditionally been good for equities.

source : bespoke

25 Nov 2025

Big opportunities are often ignored by everyone Gemini

Source: Bourbon Capital @BourbonCap

25 Nov 2025

There are 5 spot Crypto ETFs launching over next 6 days.

Nice chart showing what's launched and what's on deck from @JSeyff Source: Eric Balchunas @EricBalchunas, Bloomberg Intelligence

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks