From a valuation standpoint, Alphabet is about 40% cheaper than it was the last time the stock was trading at these prices.
$GOOG 💸 Source: Trend Spider
Just as everyone forgot, banks continue to carry alarming amount of unrealized losses.
In Q4 2023, unrealized losses on investment securities for banks hit $478 BILLION. This compares to over $100 billion of unrealized GAINS seen in 2020 when the Fed started cutting interest rates. Meanwhile, the Bank Term Funding Program has officially expired. This was the emergency loan program established during the regional bank crisis. Who will step in now? Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Below the relative chart of oil ETF $USO vs. S&P 500 ETF $SPY and the relative chart of oil stocks XLE vs. S&P 500 ETF $SPY.
Both just hit a 4.month relative high Source: J-C Parets
So true...
Source: Sanu MB
NOTHING NEW FROM POWELL YESTERDAY...
Fed Chairman Powell reiterated the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest-rate cuts, stating that they would wait and observe before making any decisions. While Powell didn't introduce any significant changes, his comment provided relief to Wall Street by suggesting that recent inflation data hadn't substantially altered the overall economic outlook. He also reiterated the likelihood of rate reductions at some point during the year. “On inflation, it is too soon to say whether the recent readings represent more than just a bump,” Mr. Powell stated. “We do not expect that it will be appropriate to lower our policy hashtag#rate until we have greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably down toward 2 percent.” At the same time, he said that cuts to the benchmark federal funds rate are “likely to be appropriate at some point this year” as he does not believe “inflation is reversing higher.”
Commodities have truly broken out now.. Is anyone paying attention?
Source: Bloomberg, Andreas Steno Larsen
Amazing chart by Quartr.
It's quite astonishing: despite the NASDAQ 100's special mid-2023 rebalancing, the combined weight of $MSFT, $AAPL, $NVIDIA, $AMZN, $GOOGL, and $META still constitutes a substantial 38% of the index. Without this rare adjustment, the second of its kind in the last 25 years, these companies would currently represent 58% of the index.
Despite recent surge in prices, Silver remains quite cheap compared to gold, and the price of silver is well away from its prior all-time highs.
The so-called "silver squeeze" have disappointed many and prior rallies faded. But this time could be different. Industrial utilization is increasing and investor interest is as well... Could silver catch up with Gold? Source: Bloomberg, Markets & Mayhem
