Quote by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Source: Strati Georgopoulos
Théo — the French Whale on Polymarket — will make $50m on his $30m bet on Trump.
A very interesting post by @TrungTPhan on X: WSJ interviewed him again after election and he explained the key polling data that gave him conviction for his bet: “neigbour polls”. ▫️Polls failed to account for the “shy Trump voter effect,” Théo said. Either Trump backers were reluctant to tell pollsters that they supported the former president, or they didn’t want to participate in polls, Théo wrote. To solve this problem, Théo argued that pollsters should use what are known as neighbor polls that ask respondents which candidates they expect their neighbors to support. The idea is that people might not want to reveal their own preferences, but will indirectly reveal them when asked to guess who their neighbors plan to vote for. Théo cited a handful of publicly released polls conducted in September using the neighbor method alongside the traditional method. These polls showed Harris’s support was several percentage points lower when respondents were asked who their neighbors would vote for, compared with the result that came from directly asking which candidate they supported.▫️ The former bank trader (Théo is fake name he gave WSJ, which confirmed his identity through other methods) said he made the bet purely from financial standpoint (not tryign to make political statement).
Ranked: Tech Manufacturers by R&D Investment Change in 2023
Source: Visual Capitalist
Quote by Albert Einstein
Source: Mindful Maven @mindfulmaven
No energy, no prosperity.
Source: Magatte Wade @magattew
Most likely the biggest market fear:
A redux of 2000 elections with no result being known before days or weeks...
Countries with voters ID... Why isn't the US on this list?
Source. The Rabbit Hole, Elon Musk on X, Fox
"Buy Waste Management first thing in the morning"
Source: Not Jerome Powell on X
