Very cool prices in the June CPI were across the board.
US Headline inflation (CPI) comes in lower than expected, at 3.5% vs expected 3.8%. This is the biggest drop in MoM headline CPI (-0.4%) since covid crash. It is also much lower than expected (-0.1%). Core CPI is also the lowest since covid at +2.6% yoy (vs. +2.8% expected). The core CPI *declined* on a MoM basis, falling -0.02%. This is the first MoM drop since May 2020. Source: Bloomberg
US 2 year yield is tumbling -7 basis points as US CPI number came in cooler than expected.
Odds of a July rate hike are now 14% (vs. 45% this morning). Source: www.investing.com, CME Fed Watch tool
SK Hynix has now plunged 40% from its all-time high just a few weeks ago
Source: zerohedge
THIS WEEK COULD RESHAPE THE FUTURE OF CRYPTO.
Two major structural catalysts are approaching. • Monday: The Senate returns, and the CLARITY Act enters its final push before the August recess. If passed, it would split crypto oversight between the CFTC and SEC, protect DeFi developers, and permanently ban a federal CBDC. • Wednesday: DTCC targets its first limited production tokenization trades. The firm behind $114T+ in cleared assets is bringing stocks, ETFs, and Treasuries on-chain with backing from BlackRock, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Citi. Regulatory clarity. Institutional tokenization. Both converging in the same week. Source: Crypto Rover
South Korea's KOSPI stock market trading has been halted for 20 minutes after crashing -8%.
Over ₩488,000,000,000,000 ($328 BILLION) has been wiped out from South Korean stocks today. Source: Bull Theory
Update (7/12 PM): The tape keeps thinning
7 commercial crossings in the last 24h (5 E→W / 2 W→E), down from 11 yesterday and barely ~6% of the Jan–Feb run-rate. Brent's grinding higher, ~$78.79 and climbing as the closure prices in. Flow down, crude up Source: @TheTerminal Michael McDonough
Amid the sharp military escalation, odds of a full Iran blockade by July 13 jumped 50% since the last update 4 days ago
Source: zerohedge, Polymarket
China's gold purchases are ACCELERATING:
China's central bank acquired +15 tonnes of gold in June, the largest monthly purchase in at least 2.5 years. This also marks the 20th consecutive monthly addition. Year-to-date, the country has increased its gold reserves by a total of +40 tonnes. This lifts China's total gold reserves to a record 2,346 tonnes, or 9% of its total FX reserves, near an all-time high. China is extremely bullish on gold. Source: Global Markets Investor
