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29 Jan 2023

The Bitcoin market has stopped bleeding.

Realized P/L ratio (30d MA), a ratio between all coins moved at a profit and a loss (at the price last moved on chain), has flipped positive. Source: Glassnode, Dylan LeClair

29 Jan 2023

Disinflation in one chart

In the 90s, a company needed 8 employees to generate $1 million in revenues. Due to technology, now it needs 2. Source: MacroAlf

27 Jan 2023

Fed fund rate above Core PCE for the first time since the pandemic!

For the first time since February 2020, Fed funds rates are positive in real terms as the Core PCE index came out at 4.4% (vs. 4.5% for the Fed funds rate). This bodes well for an imminent halt in rate hikes, unless the US economy surprises on the upside. Source: Bloomberg

27 Jan 2023

The UK has been lagging other developed economies

Souce: Bloomberg

27 Jan 2023

More evidence of a decline in the US Inflation Rate...

The PCE Price Index moved down to 5%, its lowest level since September 2021. Peak was 7% in June 2022. Source: Charlie Bilello

27 Jan 2023

Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon...

This chart highlights that #inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon. Eurozone M3 growth slows to 4.1% in Dec from 4.8% in Nov. Lower money supply growth will bring inflation down further. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

27 Jan 2023

Tech valuations are normalizing

Each generation has its own bubble. Pain after the burst is so severe that it requires new generation of inexperienced investors to become irrational again. Source: LeutholdGroup. Michel A.Arouet

27 Jan 2023

The US government has almost completely ceased the drawing of its Strategic Petroleum Reserves

The US government has almost completely ceased the drawing of its Strategic Petroleum Reserves. We just saw the smallest change in SPR for over a year. Not surprising that oil prices firmed up recently as supply remains incredibly tight. Source: Bloomberg, Tavi Costa

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