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13 Jan 2023

First USD-denominated bond issued by a Chinese property developer since September 2021!

New positive sign for the Chinese real estate sector? After 16 months of waiting, the dollar-denominated debt market has reopened for a Chinese property developer, Wanda Properties, without any guarantee from the Chinese government. This new issue was well received by investors as the book was oversubscribed four times. However, the majority of investors were from Asia (>80%) and while this news is positive for the sector (and its liquidity problem), it does not solve the problem of sales (demand) for now. Source : Bloomberg

13 Jan 2023

Busiest week ever for European bond primary market!

With one day to go, corporate financing via the Europe's public bond market has reached a record weekly level with over $100 billion of debt printed to date. Source: Bloomberg

13 Jan 2023

Is the Bank of Japan losing control of its bond market?

The Japanese yen soared overnight after Japan's Yomiuri reported that the BoJ is to review the side effects of its massive monetary easing at its policy meeting next week and may take additional steps to correct distortions in the yield curve, i.e there is a chance the BOJ will once again "surprise" the market with yet another Yield Curve Control tweak. JGB 10y has penetrated the 0.50% cap, reaching 0.568%. The USDJPY had tumbled as low as 128.66 from 132 yesterday, before bouncing modestly just above 129. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg

12 Jan 2023

Italy's 10y risk spread over Germany narrows to the lowest level since April 2022

Source: Bloomberg

12 Jan 2023

Bond market in Germany sounds the recession alarm

German bond curve – measured by 2s/10s yield spread – inverts most in 30yrs. Typically, 10 year bonds pay investors more than 2 year to compensate for uncertainty that future holds. The anomaly often precedes a recession. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

11 Jan 2023

U.S. 3-month government bond yield hits new highs!

The yield on three-month U.S. T-Bill rose 8 basis points to 4.66 percent, its highest level since 2007. This reflects the latest comments from Fed members in favor of further increases in the federal funds rates. It is worth noting that the next FOMC meeting will be held on February 1 and the market is so far expecting a 25 basis point increase. Source: Bloomberg

11 Jan 2023

Current market expectations for path of the Fed Funds Rate..

-Feb 2023: 25 bps hike to 4.50%-4.75% -Mar 2023: 25 bps hike to 4.75%-5.00% -Pause -Rate cuts start in Dec 2023, continue in 2024... Source: Charlie Bilello

9 Jan 2023

Biggest Junk-Bond ETF Draws Most Cash Since 2020 as Debt Rallies

HYG ETF attracted $1.7 billion of inflows amid cross-asset rally Source: Bloomberg

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