Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

9 Jan 2023

A 55% YoY price increase for the classic burger...

While inflation starts to cool down in the US and Europe, it is soaring in Japan. Source: Wall Street Silver

9 Jan 2023

Bulk carrier ship Glory grounded in Suez Canal

Bulk carrier Glory ran aground in the Suez Canal on Monday morning, according to shipping agency Leth, which said efforts to refloat the vessel were underway. An employee of the Suez Canal Authority, who could not be named as the news had not been officially announced, told CNBC that other ships in the canal were still able to pass the grounded Glory by around 7:30 a.m. London time. The Suez Canal is one of the world’s most important waterways, with its 120 miles hosting 30% of global shipping container traffic and 12% of all global trade worth about $1 trillion annually. Source: CNBC

7 Jan 2023

US Services Gauge Shrinks Unexpectedly in Worst Slide Since 2020

Source: Bloomberg

7 Jan 2023

With interest rates on the rise and monetary conditions tightening, US corporate bankruptcies are finally starting to tick higher

Source: Bloomberg, Crescat Capital

6 Jan 2023

The US Unemployment Rate moved down to 3.5% in December, the lowest rate we've seen since 1969

There were both dovish and hawkish news in the December US job report. DOVISH -> Average hourly earnings is +0.3% MoM, lower than expectations (+0.4%) and lower than previous month (+0.4% revised lower from +0.6%). On a yearly basis: +4.6% vs. 5.1% expected and +4.8% in November. This is the lowest y/y growth since August 2021. HAWKISH -> Job growth is 223k which is lower than in November and higher than expected (200k). Unemployment rate dropped to 3.5%, which is the lowest since 1965... It is quite remarkable to see unemployment rate going lower after several quarters of rate hikes... BOTTOM-LINE The Fed job is not over. They will continue hiking rates as long as job growth stays above 200k per month, unemployment rate at record low and wage growth still meaningfully above 2% y/y. Source chart: Charlie Bilello

6 Jan 2023

Euro-Zone inflation’s sharp drop to single-digit masks underlying pressures

Euro-Zone prices rose by 9.2% in December which is lower than economists consensus expectations (9.5%). However, core inflation hits record-high 5.2%. ECB rate hikes cycle is likely to continue. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

28 Nov 2022

Black Friday nominal and real US retail sales growth

Retailers’ Inflation-Fighting Discounts Yield Modest Growth on Black Friday

28 Nov 2022

Korean House Prices Drop by Most Since 2013 as Credit Woes Moun

Source: Bloomberg

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks