Straight from the Desk

Syz the moment

Live feeds, charts, breaking stories, all day long.

11 Oct 2022

#sp500 #presidential-cycle

S&P Performance from November through April in Mid to Pre-election Years. Source: waynewhaley

11 Oct 2022

#reits #commodities

Cross-assets chart of the day: real estate (Dow Jones US REIT index) expressed in commodity prices ($REIT:$CRB). Will the asset rotation last? Source: Tuur Demeester

11 Oct 2022

#us #equities #sector #performance

Energy stocks continue to significantly disconnect from the rest of the market. Let’s not forget: - At 11% FCF yield, the overall sector remains cheap; - It remains a low weight in main benchmarks and is underinvested by most fund managers; - While the sector is not ESG friendly, many Oil majors are now becoming more responsible and are investing into Renewables. Source: Crescat Capital, Bloomberg

11 Oct 2022

#german #mortgages

It‘s a huge difference if someone buys property with 0,8% or 4% mortgage just one year later.. Yields of German mortgage-backed securities (so-called Pfandbrief) have risen to highest level since 2011. Consumers have to pay almost 4% for 10y mortgage loans, 4 times as much as at the start of the year. Volume of mortgage loans has slumped 16% YoY. Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg

11 Oct 2022

#tlt #us #treasuries

The iShares 20+Year Treasury #etf ($TLT) is now trading below $100. This is a -41% drawdown from 2020 peak. This ETF used to be the favorite diversifier in the pre-2021 world. Source: The Market Ear, Refinitiv

Thinking out loud

Sign up for our weekly email highlighting the most popular posts.

Follow us

Thinking out loud

Investing with intelligence

Our latest research, commentary and market outlooks