JUST IN: U.S. elections - The Democratic Party releases its platform, with no mention of Bitcoin or crypto
The Democratic Party's official 2024 platform was released yesterday (Monday) on day one of the Democratic National Convention, without any mention of Bitcoin or cryptocurrency. This decision aligns with the past four years of the Biden-Harris administration's hostility towards the industry. Despite the growing significance of Bitcoin and digital assets, neither Kamala Harris or Tim Walz, who are running for president and vice president in the upcoming election this November, has prioritized the inclusion of Bitcoin and crypto in the party's agenda. Source: Bitcoin magazine, www.zerohedge.com
Retail investors are all in
Retail investors' inflows into U.S. stocks jumped over the last 2 weeks to their highest levels in at least 12 months. Aggregate net retail 5-day moving average purchases have more than DOUBLED in a month and hit~$1.7 billion last week. This comes after the S&P 500 fell ~7%, providing what proved to be a buying opportunity. Following the inflows, the S&P 500 surged over 8% from its low and is now 1.5% away from a new all time high. The risk appetite for stocks is still strong. Source: FT, The Kobeissi Letter
For the fourth consecutive month, the US LEI (leading indicators) has not signaled a recession ahead
Source: Mike Z.
FT article: "The rate at which US start-ups are going bust is more than seven times higher than in 2019, threatening millions of jobs and risking spillover to the wider economy"
Source: FT
US government spending is expected to hit 24.2% of GDP in 2024, significantly above the previous 39-year average of 21.1%, according to the CBO.
At the same time, revenues are projected to reach 17.6% of GDP, just 0.4 percentage points above the 1984-2023 average. As a result, the US deficit is estimated to hit 6.6% of GDP, almost DOUBLE the 39-year average. In nominal terms, the deficit is set to hit $1.9 trillion in 2024, the highest level since 2021 when the deficit was $2.8 trillion in response to the pandemic. US government spending relative to GDP is expected to rise rapidly while revenue stagnates. Multi-trillion Dollar deficits are the new normal. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
Passenger train lines in the USA vs Europe
Source: Massimo @Rainmaker1973
What’s the best explanation for why inflation has fallen so much more in the United States than any other G7 country?
Source: Erik Brynjolfsson @erikbryn on X
'While cyclicals have trailed defensives recently, they are still priced for an economic expansion.'
https://lnkd.in/eH8idMiZ ht @dailychartbook thru Jesse Felder on X, Bloomberg
