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10 Apr 2026

S&P 500 YTD total return: +0.0%

After all that ... it’s like nothing ever happened. Source: Charlie Bilello

10 Apr 2026

Meanwhile... Software has continued to lag semiconductors, w/the software-vs-semis trade down another 7.5%.

That brings the weekly decline to 18%, as both sides of the trade moved further apart, pushing the pair to a fresh all-time low. Source: HolgerZ. Bloomberg

10 Apr 2026

BESSENT SUMMONED WALL STREET CEOS TO DISCUSS ANTHROPIC’S MYTHOS

Claude Mythos is Anthropic's newest and most powerful AI model, announced just this week. It is described as "by far the most powerful AI model" Anthropic has ever developed — a step above even the Opus tier models, representing an entirely new tier of capability. Anthropic has deemed the model too dangerous for broad public release due to its extraordinary cybersecurity capabilities. It is currently only available to a select group of partners. Claude Mythos is apparently so good that Bessent and J. Powell summoned the bulge bank CEOs in a meeting to make sure they’re aware of how good Claude Mythos really is. Execs summoned include include $C Jane Fraser, $MS Ted Pick, $BAC Brian Moynihan, $WFC Charlie Scharf, and $GS David Solomon. Jamie Dimon $JPM couldn’t make it. More specifically, the meeting was about Mythos’s offensive and defensive cyber capabilities. Source: Negligible Capital

9 Apr 2026

US debt balance credit cards

Source: TradingView

9 Apr 2026

Images to remember when you are studying big losses at companies pitching AI tools:

Source: Brian Sozzi

9 Apr 2026

In case you missed it... Iran will demand that shipping companies pay tolls in cryptocurrency for oil tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz

as it seeks to retain control over passage through the key waterway during the two-week ceasefire. Hamid Hosseini, a spokesperson for Iran’s Oil, Gas and Petrochemical Products Exporters’ Union, told the FT on Wednesday that Iran wanted to collect tolling fees from any tanker passing and to assess each ship. He said that the tariff is $1 per barrel of hashtag#oil, adding that empty tankers can pass freely. “Once the email arrives and Iran completes its assessment, vessels are given a few seconds to pay in hashtag#bitcoin, ensuring they can’t be traced or confiscated due to sanctions,” Hosseini added. So why does Iran want to be paid in hashtag#bitcoin? Bacause: - It is portable - It is divisible - It can be trusted - It is economically & politically neutral - It has immutable monetary policy - It has perfect property rights But also because it preserves long-term purchasing power from finite energy exports. Indeed, storing oil revenues in traditional assets like US Treasury bonds can erode value over time, especially as energy prices rise faster than returns. Historical examples suggest Iran would struggle to repurchase the same oil it once sold. In contrast, assets like gold—and more recently Bitcoin—have better preserved or increased purchasing power relative to energy. Bitcoin, in particular, has dramatically outperformed oil prices since 2013. The conclusion is that commodity exporters may increasingly shift reserves into assets like gold and crypto to avoid losing value.

9 Apr 2026

GDP per capita South Korea vs North Korea

Source: Jacob King

9 Apr 2026

$SPX sp500 is back inside the range, trading roughly in the middle. Note the 200 day MA is right here.

Source: TME

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