Syz the moment

The AI boom that funneled more than $250 billion into OpenAI and Anthropic ahead of their expected mega-IPOs this year has left hundreds of startups built before ChatGPT’s arrival in 2022 stranded — effectively cut off from venture funding because of their inflated valuations and outdated technology, yet not profitable enough for the public markets. More than 220 companies that had reached billion-dollar valuations in the venture boom are now fallen unicorns, according to PitchBook, which provided a list of the companies exclusively to CNBC. The estimates are based on factors including head count growth and comparisons with public companies. Source: CNBC

Michael Burry reported that the upcoming public listings for SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are going to pull more capital out of the market than the entire dot-com wave of 2000. Adjusted for inflation, just these three companies will raise more money than the hundreds of tech firms that flooded the market at the peak of the 2000 bubble. The historical data from 2000 shows exactly why this is dangerous for stocks. That year, the market saw 446 IPOs raise a record $108.15 billion. The Nasdaq peaked on March 10, 2000, at the exact moment this massive supply of new shares hit the market, right before crashing 80%. The crash happened because of a simple liquidity drain. When giant companies go public, big institutional funds need cash to buy the new shares. To get that cash, they have to sell their existing stock positions. This creates immediate selling pressure on the most expensive tech stocks. Today, the setup is identical but much more concentrated. Instead of hundreds of small startups spreading out the drain, just three mega companies are absorbing the market's capital. This directly impacts current market leaders. Microsoft has 49% of its $627 billion cloud backlog tied to OpenAI, and Oracle has 54% of its pipeline dependent on it. The same big funds that need to buy the new IPOs are the ones currently holding these tech giants. In the first quarter of 2000, the average IPO nearly doubled on its first trading day because cash was easily available. By the fourth quarter, capital markets dried up. Gross IPO proceeds collapsed 63% in a single quarter, and average first-day gains dropped to just 14% as companies rushed into layoffs and bankruptcies. When an unprecedented amount of money is pulled out of existing stocks to fund a single massive IPO wave, the broader market historically runs out of the liquidity needed to sustain its peak. Source: Bull Theory

Good thing hyperscalers are printing cash... Source: zerohedge

Those 60M people hold 48% of all global wealth. The bottom 1.55 billion hold 0.6%. Source: UBS Global Wealth Report 2025 Frank Chaparro @fintechfrank

Source: InvestyWise by Groww

• Switzerland: 12.4% • Hong Kong: 8.6% • United States: 7.1% • Netherlands: 7.0% • Singapore: 5.5% • United Kingdom: 3.9% • Germany: 3.2% • Japan: 2.2% • China: 0.4% • India: 0.06% In Switzerland, roughly 1 in 8 people is a US dollar millionaire. Source: Thierry from arvy 🇨🇭

A one-page addition quietly attached to yesterday's $1.8 billion settlement permanently bars the IRS from examining Trump's tax returns, his family, and his companies. The original settlement said nothing about taxes. This showed up the next day. Former IRS commissioner Danny Werfel said he was "unaware of a single precedent where the IRS has agreed in advance to permanently forgo examination of previously filed tax returns for a specific person or business." The settlement was sold as accountability. The extra page is a lifetime audit exemption for the president. Source: POLITICO, FT

Source: Stocks World