What are the most under-owned and over-owned large-caps stocks in portfolios?
"Of the large cap stocks we evaluate, MSFT, NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, and GOOGL are currently the most under owned in actively managed portfolios vs. the S&P 500, while INTU, CRM, ADBE and QCOM are the most over-owned." - MS Woodring. Source: Daily Chartbook, MS
TGI Thursdays
The S&P 500 is up an annualized +46.0% on Thursday so far in 2024. This would be the best return for Thursday since '21 (+51.5%) and best for any day since Friday last year (+53.0%). Bottom line, in bull markets you tend to see strength ahead of the weekend. ✔☑✅ Source: Ryan Detrick, CMT @RyanDetrick on X, Carson research
A shocking chart...
'In gold terms, the SP500 is exactly where it was in August 1971. The significance of that date is that it was the moment when President Richard Nixon severed the dollar's link to gold". Source: Bloomberg, Jesse Felder @jessefelder on X
Here's a look at the 30 best performing S&P 500 stocks over the last 20 years since Alphabet $GOOGL IPO'd
NVIDIA $NVDA is on top followed by Apple $AAPL, Netflix $NFLX and then Monster Beverage $MNST. Alphabet ranks 11th just behind Salesforce $CRM. Source: Bespoke
Why you need to invest, in one chart
Over the last 30 years, the purchasing power of the US consumer dollar has been cut in half due to inflation. At the same time, the SP500 has gained 962% (8% per year) after adjusting for inflation. Source: Charlie Bilello
All eyes on Jackson Hole this week
Looking at historical returns, it is rarely a big deal for markets. Will this time be different? Source: The Transcript
Retail investors are all in
Retail investors' inflows into U.S. stocks jumped over the last 2 weeks to their highest levels in at least 12 months. Aggregate net retail 5-day moving average purchases have more than DOUBLED in a month and hit~$1.7 billion last week. This comes after the S&P 500 fell ~7%, providing what proved to be a buying opportunity. Following the inflows, the S&P 500 surged over 8% from its low and is now 1.5% away from a new all time high. The risk appetite for stocks is still strong. Source: FT, The Kobeissi Letter
A person who invested $10k in the S&P 500 $SPY in 1993 would have faced:
• Asian Crisis, 1997 • Dotcom bubble, 2000 • GFC, 2007 • EU debt crisis, 2010 • Global pandemic, 2020 • Numerous recessions Yet, their initial investment would be worth $195k today (10% CAGR). Source: @KoyfinCharts
