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So far in 2024, only 29.8% of the stocks in the S&P500 are outperforming the benchmark.
Source: Koyfin
$SPY The bull's first line of defense holds strong. 💪
Source: Trend Spider
The end of complacency? Fear Index Vix has jumped 32.6% last week, the biggest weekly increase since March 2023.
But at 16.5, the Vix level is still below the long-term average of 19.8. And remember that during election years, volatility tends to increase by 25% between July and November... Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
This is not a Trump trade but rather a "soft landing trade" => Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy
Source: Edward Jones
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Stocks have rallied on the prospects of a soft landing for the economy">
Equal weight S&P 500 (ETF $RSP) is considerably cheaper than the market cap weighted ETF, just as we may see earnings growth broaden out to a wider swath of companies.
Does that spell opportunity? Source: Markets & Mayhem, GS
Meanwhile: The tech sector now represents 44% of the S&P 500 index when including Amazon, Alphabet, and Meta.
The pendulum has probably swung too far in one direction, and investors are running out of ideas to justify these historical distortions. Source: Tavi Costa, Bloomberg
July has been up 9 years in a row and the first half of July is one of the strongest periods of the year.
This strength shouldn't be too surprising. But be aware historically July peaks on the 17th, so tomorrow. Source: Ryan Detrick
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