Hedge funds exposure to mega cap tech stocks reaches highest level EVER RECORDED
Source: Barchart, Bloomberg
The last 30 years...
Source: Seek Wiser
Nvidia establishes itself in the $1 trillion club. But expectations for Wednesday's numbers are immense
In Q1, Nvidia $NVDA crushed analysts’ revenue estimates by 10.4% as revenues rose 19% QoQ to $7.19 billion. The strong sequential growth was led by record data center revenue, primarily helped by accelerated computing as generative AI drove high demand for Nvidia’s products. For Q2, Nvidia is projecting revenues of $11B, up 68% QoQ, with a 400 bp increase in gross margins as AI takes center stage. The AI-hype has driven some stocks valuations to extreme levels. Nvidia is the most emblematic one among large-caps is with a P/E ratio which went from under 50x to 224x in just 8 months. Source: Bloomberg
Cloud Infrastructure Services Market
$65 billion in spending in Q2 2023. → +18% Y/Y and +3% Q/Q. Market share: 🟧 $AMZN AWS 32%. 🟦 $MSFT Azure 22%. 🟩 $GOOG GCP 11%. Big 3 = 65% of the market. Estimates by Synergy Research Group. Source: App Economy Insight
The S&P 500 Technology sector forward P/E to that of the SP500 is not as expensive as it was during the Internet bubble
However, the PEG ratio (forward PE divided by consensus long-term EPS growth rate) is roughly at the same level. Source: Game of Trades
There is now a huge divergence between semiconductors share price index and semis monthly sakes
Source: Mac10
‘SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF’ has the highest 10-year returns at 24%.
They are closely followed by BlackRock’s 'iShares Semiconductor ETF’ at 23.3%. There is a clear pattern here where semiconductor and technology ETFs have achieved the highest returns over the last 10 years. Source: Genuine Impact
The hype surrounding "Threads," the new social network launched by Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg, has collapsed
Threads has unraveled so quickly that new data shows active users have been halved. Threads launched in the US on July 5 and reached over 100 million sign-ups by that weekend. Shortly after, Zuckerberg wrote in a post, "Can't believe it's only been five days!" Zuckerberg appears to have prematurely taken a victory lap because early last week, data from SensorTower and SimilarWeb showed an exodus of users and a plunge in engagements. The note was titled Threads Unravels: So-Called 'Twitter Killer' App Sees Exodus Of Users, Plunge In Engagement. New data from SimilarWeb shows the exodus has worsened. As of last Friday, daily active users on the app collapsed from 49 million to 23.6 million in a week. Usage in the US peaked on July 7 at about 21 minutes of engagement. By Friday, that number plunged to just six minutes. SimilarWeb said the app lacks basic features that "offer a compelling reason to switch from Twitter or start a new social media habit." Also, some users found Threads has been dominated by censorship.
