Syz the moment

The share of consumers uncertain about business conditions over the next year spiked to 51% in September, the most on record. The percentage has DOUBLED in 4 months. Over the last 30 years, the share of consumers concerned about short-term business prospects has never been so high. Americans have been hit by historically high costs of living, elevated borrowing costs, and the deteriorating job market. US households are struggling. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ

The Federal Reserve lowered its benchmark interest rate by a half percentage point Wednesday, in an aggressive start to a policy shift aimed at bolstering the US labor market.Committee sees another half-point of cuts in rest of 2024Policymakers penciled in an additional percentage point of cuts in 2025, according to their median forecast.

Yields on 10-year Treasuries are the highest vs 2-year yields going back to 2022. Source: Lisa Abramowitz, Bloomberg

.

This index tracks the health of the restaurant industry in the US by measuring sales, customer traffic, labor, and overall business conditions. Since 2021, this metric has fallen by ~8.0%, marking the largest drop since it was launched in 2002. Such a low level in the index has only been seen during recessions. Americans are pulling back on dining out as prices have been sharply rising and recently hit new all-time highs. Since 2020, food prices away from home have increased by 27.0%, and fast food prices have jumped by 31.0%. Eating out is becoming a luxury... Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Trahan Macro Research

Source: Bloomberg, www.zerohedge.com

Source: Bloomberg