US earnings season update >>>
Double beats are being rewarded by less than the historical average while double misses are being punished by more than usual. Source: BofA
To the moon!!! US Treasury boosts April-June borrowing estimates to $243b from $202b.
US reiterates a cash-balance estimate of $750bn for the end of June. US Treasury cites lower cash receipts for bigger borrowing estimates. No Mrs Yellen, this is not virtual reality... (picture stollen to Jim Bianco)
Here's the most shocking part of Q1 us GDP numbers...
Source: www.zerohedge.com
Where did all the stocks go?
Since the late 1990s, the number of US publicly traded companies has plunged from just over 8K in 1996 to about 4.6K in 2022. (It’s bounced back a bit more recently.) Source: Quartr
US small bank cash reserves plummeted by $258 billion last week below the level considered a constraint, according to ZeroHedge.
This excludes a $126 billion still sitting at the Fed’s emergency lending program that expired in March. It marked the largest decline in bank deposits since April 2022 when $336 billion came out of the banking system. Meanwhile, US regulators have seized Republic First Bank on Friday and agreed to sell it to Fulton Bank, another regional bank with $6 billion in total assets. The FDIC projects the failure will cost the fund around $667 million. Is the US regional bank crisis really over? Source: The Kobeissi Letter, www.zerohedge.com
In case you missed it... U.S. 10-year government bonds yield 4.70%, about two percent more than Vietnam's 2.92%.
Source: Jeff Weniger
OOPS... stagflationary numbers out of US !!!
Real GDP expanded at a 1.6% rate in Q1, trailing all forecasts. Main growth engine – personal spending – rose at a slower-than-forecast 2.5% pace. BUT a closely watched measure of underlying inflation advanced at a greater-than-expected 3.7% clip... While "soft" macro data in the first 3 months of the year were "goldilocks" for markets (Growth surprising on the upside + disinflation), the effective Q1 print does not look as rosy... Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
Wall Street stalwart Jamie Dimon is concerned history may be repeating itself with the U.S. economy returning to the embedded stagflation it battled 50 years ago.
Speaking at the Economic Club of New York on Tuesday, JPMorgan CEO Dimon said now more so than ever the economy is resembling the 1970s, when both inflation and unemployment were high but economic growth was weak.
