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What is the exposure of German banks to us commercial real estate?
According to Moody's, Aareal Bank & Deutsche Pfandbriefbank have the largest exposure compared w/their capital levels. The shares of Deutsche Pfandbriefbank, which is the most shorted in Germany, have recently lost a quarter of their value. In case of Deutsche Bank, there is a gap between banks' exposure to US specialized lending and exposure to banks' US CRE book as DB engages to a material extent in other asset-based or project lending that would also qualify as specialised lending, according to Moody's. Source: Dekabank, HolgerZ
The rally on Wall Street has meant that US equities now have a weighting of ~70% in the popular MSCI World index.
That is a record. The risk is correspondingly high if US equities go out of fashion. Source: Bloomberg, HolgerZ
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