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🚨 THE SHOCKING CHART OF THE DAY >>>
THE FEDERAL RESERVES REVERSE REPO HAS FALLEN TO $155 BILLION WHICH IS THE FIRST TIME WE SEEN THIS LEVEL SINCE MAY 2021🚨 USUALLY WHEN IT FALLS IT LOWERS YIELDS BUT INSTEAD THEY’RE MOVING UP AND 10YR YIELDS FLEW TO 4.3% LAST WEEK. It was initially used to pull money out of the economy to reduce inflation. Then it went back into economy and then into equites. What's next? Source: Mike Investing on X
Ranked: Tech Manufacturers by R&D Investment Change in 2023
Source: Visual Capitalist
Goldman has some potential reaction functions:
* Trump w/ Republican Sweep = 25% probability; S&P +3% * Trump w/ Divided Government = 30% probability; S&P +1.5% " Harris w/ Democratic Sweep = 5% probability; S&P -3% * Harris w/ Divided Government = 40% probability; S&P -1.5% Source: Carl Quintanilla on X, Goldman Sachs
Trump's odds are back on the rise.
🟥 Trump • 57.7% chance 🟦 Harris • 42.3% chance Tomorrow is election day. Source: Polymarket
$SPY Price Action Around Elections
In the last three election cycles, we've seen risk-off behaviour before the vote, followed by a strong rally in the weeks that follow. This year’s pattern is shaping up similarly, will history repeat? Source: TrendSpider @TrendSpider
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