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Citi U.S. Economic Surprise Index is starting to roll over again
Source: Bloomberg
US households have not been this giddy on stocks in decades.
Source: The Daily Shot
Semiconductor Stocks $SMH testing the 200D moving average for only the 4th time since January 2023 🚨
Source: Barchart
So brutal but so true from @psarofagis
Source: @Eric Balchunas
Countries promised to move away from coal, oil and natural gas at last year’s climate summit. New research shows they’re burning more than ever before.
One year after world leaders made a splashy promise to shift away from fossil fuels, countries are burning more oil, natural gas and coal than ever before, researchers said this week. Global carbon dioxide emissions from fossil fuels are on track to reach a record 37.4 billion metric tons in 2024, a 0.8 percent increase over 2023 levels, according to new data from the Global Carbon Project. It’s a trend that puts countries farther from their goal of stopping global warming. The increase was not uniform across the globe. Emissions will most likely decline this year in the United States and Europe, and fossil fuel use in China slowed. Yet that was offset by a surge in carbon dioxide from India and the rest of the world. Source: NYT
With their massive market caps and impressive price appreciation, the Magnificent7 stocks have played a crucial role in driving the S&P 500 index’s performance.
Without them, S&P 500 returns since December 2022 would be much closer to average, still good, mind you, but more average. 🤣 @ISABELNET_SA thru Lance Roberts on X
Why is altcoin season delayed?
Here's the view by Ki Young Ju on X: "Compared to the last cycle, the nature of capital flowing into Bitcoin has shifted. The current Bitcoin rally is primarily driven by demand from institutional investors and spot ETFs. Unlike crypto exchange users, institutional investors and ETF buyers have no intention of rotating their assets from Bitcoin to altcoins. Moreover, as they operate outside of crypto exchanges, asset rotation becomes inherently less feasible. While institutional investors might allocate funds to major altcoins via ETFs or investment vehicles, minor altcoins still rely on crypto exchange users to buy them. For altcoins to reach a new all-time high market capitalization, they will require a significant influx of fresh capital to crypto exchanges. The altcoin market cap below its previous ATH indicates reduced fresh liquidity from new exchange users. If Bitcoin retail FOMO reignites, exchange user activity might increase, potentially setting the stage for an altcoin season. However, Bitcoin's future growth is expected to come from ETFs, institutions, and maybe govts, rather than retail traders on crypto exchanges".
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