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Banks and insurers might be longs as structural beneficiaries in the AI era.
Back office tasks get automated and margins improve. Software has a large opportunity to improve efficiency as well. Source: Greg @GS_CapSF
THE WORLD RUNS THROUGH 8 STRAITS
Here are the key chokepoints: • Malacca ~25% of global traded goods • Hormuz ~25% of global oil, ~⅓ of LNG • Singapore ~50% of global seaborne trade • Gibraltar Atlantic ↔ Mediterranean • Bosphorus Black Sea outlet • Magellan Atlantic ↔ Pacific backup • Bering Arctic gateway • Bass Australian passage These are pressure points. Close Hormuz... Oil spikes. Disrupt Malacca... Asia freezes. Block Bosphorus... Black Sea trade halts. Geopolitics isn’t abstract. It’s maritime geometry. Source: Jack Prandelli @jackprandelli on X
hey, capex is good. It will pay off” consider the historical record
Source: Peter Berezin @PeterBerezinBCA
AI Risk Is Dominating Conference Calls as Investors Dump Stocks
Source: Bloomberg
A Stock Market Doom Loop Is Hitting Everything That Touche AI
Source: Bloomberg
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