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18 May 2026

Is there a trade here? Crude and the dollar have never been this positively correlated.

Source: Bloomberg, RBC

18 May 2026

Google $GOOGL now has a $467.6 Billion revenue backlog up from $92.4B in the same quarter last year.

Source: Evan on X, Fiscal.ai

18 May 2026

Tether is accumulating gold at a pace that rivals central banks

Tether purchased 6.5 tonnes of gold in Q1 2026, bringing total holdings to a record 132 tonnes. Over the last 6 quarters, Tether has purchased ~73 tonnes of gold in total, surpassing China's central bank purchases of ~49 tonnes over the same period by nearly +50%. Tether's gold holdings have more than DOUBLED over the last 12 months. In 2025, Tether acquired more gold than every central bank except Poland. Tether is now competing directly with central banks for gold. Source: Global Markets Investor

18 May 2026

SpaceX prospectus is expected to drop as soon as this week.

Space names are going crazy: Source: Negligible Capital

18 May 2026

Pullbacks do happen GS: "While the trend is higher, we have seen multiple pullbacks in AI, making the case for short-term hedging"

Source: TME

18 May 2026

The dispersion of public market returns between sellers and buyers of AI.

Note however it feels weird to find Alphabet $GOOGL in the "loser" camp as the stock is up 130%+ over the last 12 months. Some buyers of product shortage are able to perform well as long as investors see clear evidence that its AI investments are turning into real revenue and profit growth — not just hype. Alphabet's cloud computing business has been delivering much better than expectations. Source: Tanay Jaipuria

18 May 2026

Two months after Trump announced that the US would provide insurance to ships seeking to transit the Strait of Hormuz, the programme has not provided a single dollar of cover.

The scheme never got off the ground, according to insurance brokers, as it did not fulfil all the requirements needed for ships transiting the strait and was tied to a US naval escort for vessels, which has not been established. Source: Alexander Stahel on X, FT

15 May 2026

Goldman Sachs just updated its “Rule of 10” screen.

And the conclusion is clear: The strongest growth in the S&P 500 is still concentrated around AI infrastructure. Not consumer apps. Not speculative software. Infrastructure. ⚡ The screen focuses on companies expected to deliver >10% annual revenue growth from 2024–2028. The biggest projected winners for 2026? ➡️ Memory ➡️ Compute ➡️ Servers ➡️ Cooling ➡️ Storage ➡️ Networking Here’s where the growth is clustering: • Micron ($MU): +230% expected revenue growth AI demand is reshaping the memory cycle. High-bandwidth memory (HBM) and advanced packaging are becoming strategic bottlenecks. • Broadcom ($AVGO): +74% Custom AI chips, optical networking, VMware integration — one of the most diversified AI infrastructure plays. • Nvidia ($NVDA): +71% Still the dominant compute layer powering enterprise AI deployment at scale. But the AI stack goes far beyond semiconductors: • Super Micro ($SMCI): +68% AI server density demand remains explosive, despite profitability concerns. • Vertiv ($VRT): +33% Cooling and power are now mission-critical as GPU clusters scale. • Seagate ($STX): +29% AI creates massive storage demand through training data, inference logs, and cloud archives. • Arista Networks ($ANET): +27% Networking becomes essential as large-scale AI clusters increasingly rely on high-performance Ethernet fabrics. What stands out most: AI is no longer just a software story. The real bottlenecks — and the strongest projected growth — sit inside the physical infrastructure layer powering the AI economy. Goldman’s screen also highlights a second theme: Platform + healthcare compounders. • DoorDash ($DASH) → logistics scale • Axon ($AXON) → public safety software • Meta ($META) → AI-driven ad monetization • Eli Lilly ($LLY) & Insulet ($PODD) → durable healthcare demand The market narrative may evolve. But for now, capital expenditure still follows one core reality: No AI revolution without infrastructure. Source: Sergey

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