President Trump told Axios on Thursday that he's seriously considering restarting major combat operations in Iran
Including strikes that would be bigger than the ones carried out during Operation Epic Fury. In a brief interview, Trump acknowledged that such a decision would have consequences and stressed he hasn't made a determination yet. Trump didn't give a deadline for his decision. Two other U.S. officials confirmed no call has been made and no new orders have been given to the military. The current escalation has caused oil prices to eclipse $100 per barrel. A return to all-out war is highly unpopular in the U.S. "I am considering a massive attack. Bigger than ever before. I am close to making a decision. We are all set for it," the president said. Trump said Israel "would join in two minutes if I ask them to," but added that "we don't need anybody" to launch a new operation against Iran. He also said there would be "consequences" for Israel joining the strikes, hinting at Iranian retaliation against Israel. Source: Axios
Carnage in hyperscaler bond land:
Investment Grade bond spreads for hyperscalers are exploding every day, as credit investors refuse to fund memory chip purchases any longer. CDS (inverted in red on the chart below) are following. How long will it take for the hyperscaler stocks (in blue) to follow ? Source: zerohedge
European gas futures are back near their highest level since the Iran war started
The reason: Europe is losing the LNG bidding war. Imports down 35% y/y over the last month; China's up 8%. TTF is back near its post-Iran-war high — not because Europe wants more gas, but because it has to pay up to get any. The cargoes aren't disappearing, they're just sailing east. US exporters are indifferent to which. Source: Jack Prandelli on X, Bloomberg
U.S. fossil fuel power investment is now outpacing China's for the first time in decades
Source: Hedgeye, FT, IEA
There is a record $8.29 trillion in money market funds right now.
Source: Koyfin
$1.48 TRILLION has been wiped out from SpaceX $SPCX in the last 37 days, as it hits a new all-time low.
Source: Bull Theory
Alphabet beat Q2 revenue expectations, but missed on underlying earnings.
Revenue rose 24% to $119.8 billion, led by an 82% increase in Google Cloud revenue to $24.8 billion. Cloud operating margin reached 36%. Reported net income was boosted by roughly $99 billion in unrealised gains on investments including Anthropic and SpaceX. Excluding these gains, adjusted EPS was $2.85 versus $2.90 expected. The stock fell 3% after hours. Source: App Economy Insights @EconomyApp Bull Theory Yahoo Finance
Google's capex is on track to nearly triple in two years
Source: Hedgeye @Hedgeye Bloomberg
