Syz the moment

NVIDIA CLOSED THE DAY UP 8%. NVDIA ADDED $220 BILLION DOLLARS TODAY FOR CONTEXT INTEL IS WORTH JUST $80 BILLION NOW THAT MEANS NVIDIA ADDED ALMOST 3 INTELS JUST TODAY 🤯 Source: www.zerohedge.com, GURGAVIN

Not if they're associated with an economic downturn and earnings decline. E.g 2007-2008 Source: Charlie Bilello

By comparison, in early August, speculative positions reached net short ~180,000 contracts, the most in at least 20 years. The las time such a sharp reversal from short to long occurred was during the 2008 Financial Crisis. This comes after the Japanese Yen has strengthened against the US dollar by 12% since July as the carry trade has scaled back. The $USDJPY pair is flat year-to-date and is trading at its lowest level since the first week of January. Japanese Yen volatility is still here. Source: The Kobeissi Letter

Q2 marks the 11th STRAIGHT quarter of unrealized losses on investment securities for banks, a streak never seen before. The number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List increased to 66 and represents 1.5% of total. Source: Global Markets Investor

U.S. inflation came in as expected, increasing the likelihood of a 25 basis point Fed rate cut, with market expectations rising to 83%. A 50 basis point cut is now only 17% likely. The bond market now expects a 25 bps Fed rate cut this month, not 50 bps. The 2-year yield hit 3.69%, and the hashtag#Fed's held rates at 5.25%-5.5% since July 2023. Investors eye 140 bps in cuts by Jan '25. Source: Luc Sternberg, coinoptix, Bloomberg

Inflation in August declined to its lowest level since February 2021, according to a Labor Department report Wednesday that also showed a key measure higher than expected, setting the stage for an expected quarter percentage point rate cut from the Federal Reserve. Indeed, while the headline CPI increased 0.2% for the month, in line with the Dow Jones consensus, the core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.3% for the month, slightly higher than the 0.2% estimate. The slight uptick in core CPI keeps the Fed on defense against inflation, likely negating the probability of a more aggressive interest rate when policymakers meet next Tuesday and Wednesday. Here are the details: -> CPI 0.2% MoM (or 0.187% unrounded), Exp. 0.2% - in line -> CPI Core 0.3% MoM (or 0.281% unrounded), Exp. 0.2% - hotter than expected. Note that was the 51st straight month of MoM increases in Core CPI, and a new record high. The annual prints: -> CPI 2.5% YoY, Exp. 2.5% - in line. The annual CPI increase is the lowest since February 2021... -> CPI Core 3.2% YoY, Exp. 3.2% - in line Last, but not least, and perhaps most ominous of all, is that while the Fed is about to start cutting rates, Supercore CPI rose 0.33% MoM (see chart below), the biggest monthly increase since April, driven by continued acceleration in transportation services, which jumped the most in 5 months. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg

Walt Disney (DIS US) reached the major support swing between 78.73-84 at the beginning of August and has started rebounding. This is a healthy consolidation following the positive breakout in March, indicating a change in the long-term trend. Source: Bloomberg

Source: Bloomberg