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US equities bull market => are you afraid to be too late to the party?
If history is any guide, you aren't. As shown on the chart below, history shows there is still rooms to go for this bull market in terms of duration AND magnitue. Source: RBC
Why Nvidia is a different story than Cisco in 2 charts...
Source: JPAM
🚨 THIS IS ONE OF THE MOST EXPENSIVE MARKETS IN HISTORY 🚨
valuation remains a headwind for US equities (out of the 5 pillars of our investment process, valuation is the only negative one) . S&P 500 is expensive on 19 out of 20 metrics according to the Bank of America analysis. Some metrics are over 100% above historical averages. Shiller P/E and S&P 500 Market Cap to GDP are now 101% and 147% above averages. Source: Global Markets Investor, Facset, Bloomberg, BofA
⚠️US BANKS UNREALIZED LOSSES HIT $512.9 BILLION IN Q2 2024⚠️
Q2 marks the 11th STRAIGHT quarter of unrealized losses on investment securities for banks, a streak never seen before. The number of banks on the FDIC Problem Bank List increased to 66 and represents 1.5% of total. Source: Global Markets Investor
$ALLY tumbled 17.5% yesterday as auto loan repayments see rising delinquency rates spook investors
More evidence that a growing portion of consumers are increasingly struggling. Source: Markets & Mayhem
Traders weigh "buy the dip" opportunities on Asian tech stocks
Source: Bloomberg
Is a massive regime change in markets taking place?
This week has again been volatile for stocks. But the big news for investors is for the first time in a few years, bonds are acting again as a hedge against stock market drawdowns. Or in other words: after a period of positive correlation which wrecked 60/40 portfolios, the stock/bond correlation is turning negative again. This is an important development. Source: Alfonso Peccatiello
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