Modi's budget could send Indian stocks higher
Source: Bloomberg 3 July 2024
TS Lombard: "Our analysis of past volatility bouts shows that equities take 4-5 weeks, on average, before a sustained recovery begins.
Markets tend to rebound on oversold conditions such as the current ones, but investors often sell into that strength, which can lead to a relapse. This is what happened, for instance, in 2018, an episode that bears strong similarities to the current one." Source: TS Lombard, The Market Ear
You might wonder why gold is down in a day like today?
diversification does not always work. When margin calls happen everything gets liquidated...
For the history books -> This was the worst day for Japan’s Nikkei stock index since the Black Monday crash of 1987, down 12.4%.
Source: Trading View
JUST IN 🚨: Robinhood suspends 24-hour trading market
Source: Barchart
Japan Equities Crash, how significant?
Nikkei 225 lost 20% or more within a 3-week period? 1. 1990: -21%, (February 14 - March 7), asset price bubble plunge in Japan. 2. 2008: -23%, (September 26 - October 16) post the Lehman collapse. 3. 2013: -21%, (May 22 - June 13), economic stimulus panic. 4. 2020: -23%, (February 21 - March 13), the COVID pandemic panic of 2020. Source: Lawrence McDonald, Bloomberg
Should you sell your Apple because Buffet has been selling 50% of his Apple ($AAPL) shares?
Well, think twice. Buffett sold his entire Mcdonalds ($MCD) stock in 1998. Since then, MCD has increased +1,413%, outperforming Berkshire Hathaways returns. Buffett sold his entire Costco #($COST) stake in June 2020. Since then, COST has gained +190%, outperforming Berkshire as well. Buffett also sold all his stakes in airline stocks like Delta Airlines ($DAL) in March 2020. Since then, DAL is up +82% as well Lesson? Don't copy paste what other investors are doing, no matter how great they are. Source: Adam Khoo on X
Berkshire Hathaway’s cash pile swelled to a record $276.9 billion last quarter as Warren Buffett sold big chunks in stock holdings including Apple
The Omaha-based conglomerate’s cash hoard jumped significantly higher from the previous record of $189 billion, set in the first quarter of 2024. The increase came after the Oracle of Omaha sold nearly half of his stake in Tim Cook-led tech giant in the second quarter. Berkshire has been a seller of stocks for seven quarters straight, but that selling accelerated in the last period with Buffett shedding more than $75 billion in equities in the second quarter. That brings the total of stocks sold in the first half of 2024 to more than $90 billion. The selling by Buffett has continued in the third quarter in some areas with Berkshire trimming its second biggest stake, Bank of America, for 12 consecutive days, filing this week showed. For the second quarter, Berkshire’s operating earnings, which encompass profits from the conglomerate’s fully-owned businesses, enjoyed a jump thanks to the strength in auto insurer Geico. Operating earnings totaled $11.6 billion in the second quarter, up about 15% from $10 billion a year prior. $BRK Berkshire Hathaway Q2 FY24. • Stock repurchase $0.3B. • $AAPL stake cut by nearly half. • Segment margin 14% (+2pp Y/Y). • Cash and short-term securities $277B. Source: App Economy Insights, CNBC
