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It’s not a disconnect between macro view and S&P 500, it’s simply Mag7 euphoria driving the divergence
S&P 493 is valued more in line with macro expectations. Source: BofA, Michel A.Arouet
Shares of US firms that miss profit estimates are falling by the most in four years:
Bloomberg Intelligence
MARKET BREADTH NEGATIVE ALERT >>>
SP500 Market Breadth drops to lowest level of the year as only 35.38% of Index Stocks are trading above their 200 Day Moving Averages Source: Barchart
As stocks tumbled, the VIX soared
And after 105 consecutive days of closing below 20, the longest streak since 2019, the VIX index finally closed above 20 - in fact above 21 - breaking the streak on day 106. Source: www.zerohedge.com, Bloomberg
Below a chart of stocks $SPY (S&P 500) vs. bonds $TLT (iShares 20y+ US Treasuries), just as a reminder of the persistence and longevity of this relative trend
Source: David Keller
Through FY24 to FY27, Nvidia $NVDA is projected to generate a total of $342B in revenue
That forecasted total is more than double Nvidia’s lifetime revenues of $160.3B through the end of FY23. Source: Beth Kindig
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