Ahead, of interest rates cut, how does the average asset allocation look like?
Are we going to see cash moving out of money markets into risk assets? Well, according to this chart by Mike Zaccardi, CFA, CMT, MBA, as a percent of total assets, money market fund holdings are now at 2-year LOWS !!!
China weighs cutting mortgage rates in two steps to shield banks
Source: Bloomberg
BREAKING: Odds of a 50 basis point interest rate cut at the September Fed meeting rise to 23%
There's now a 95%+ chance that interest rates are cut in September with a 78% chance of a 25 bps rate cut, according to @Kalshi Source: The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING 🚨 Jerome Powell will indicate that the Fed is open to a 50 bps rate cut during his speech at the Jackson Hole, according to analysts from Evercore
BULLS, GET EVEN MORE EXCITED... Source: Stocktwits, www.investing.com
JUST IN 🚨: Odds of a 50 bps interest rate in September has plummeted to less than 25%
Source: Barchart
Interest rate futures are now pricing in 8 Fed rate cuts over the next 12 months, the most since the 2008 Financial Crisis.
Market expectations have sharply shifted over the last week toward more cuts in anticipation of economic weakness. Over the last 60 years, every time the market expected 200 basis points of rate cuts, a recession in the US followed within several months. Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Goldman Sachs
US banks are facing $517 Billion of Unrealized Losses - nobody wants interest rate cuts more than them
Source: Barchart, BofA
Why the ECB should keep interest rates at the lowest level possible explained in one chart
The Euro zone is an equilibrium where high debt countries like Italy, France and Spain run big deficits. The ECB enables this by capping yields when these spike like they did in 2022. This policy is an implicit subsidy of high debt countries by low debt ones... Source: Robin Brooks
