Outperformance of sp500 vs US 30-year Treasury bond is massive. What would it take to reverse the trend?
Source: Mac10
Tesla is making the comeback of the year...
Tesla, $TSLA, is now the 12th largest public company in the world. Since the April 2024 low, Tesla stock is now up over 80% and has added $350 BILLION in market cap. The stock is also now just 1.5% away from being UP year-to-date after falling nearly 40% in the first 4 months. If $TSLA hits ~$257 per share, it will be one of the top 10 largest public companies in the world. Just 2 months ago, Tesla briefly fell off the top 20 list as worries over the EV market arose. Source: Kobeissi Letter
$TLT, a popular bond-tracking ETF recorded a $2.7 billion inflow last Monday, the largest inflow on record.
Year-to-date, the ETF has seen inflows of $4.4 billion, on track for its largest annual inflow on record. To put this into perspective, $TLT has $54 billion in assets under management. This is all despite $TLT falling -4% YTD and -37% over the last 4 years. Source: The Kobeissi Lettr, Bloomberg
Just in: BlackRock just launched a "buffer fund", a stock ETF with a 100% downside hedge.
The iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Jun ETF started trading on Monday under the ticker symbol $MAXJ What’s a buffer fund? These funds offer hedged exposure to stocks by limiting losses while also capping gains, and they’re not exactly a new concept. Since their inception, they’ve attracted industry giants like BlackRock, and they’ve drawn about $5 billion in inflows so far this year. But even before they came around, investment banks were offering their clients “structured notes” – a hybrid product that combines bits and pieces of different financial instruments into one to create customized risk-reward profiles. While there are many different types of structured notes out there, “buffer participation notes” are among the most popular. The notes and buffer funds work in the exact same way – they’re just packaged as different investment vehicles. Having said that, buffer funds are a lot more accessible for retail investors. Buffer participation notes, like most structured notes, are typically offered by investment banks only to sophisticated, high-net-worth clients. Buffer ETFs, by contrast, can be bought and sold just like any ordinary stock. Source: Finimize
Apple's Price to Sales ratio just moved above 9, the highest valuation level in company history.
$AAPL Source: Charlie Bilello
A reminder of top strategists 2024 outlook for the S&P 500
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Semiconductor production by location
Source: Mike Zaccardi
The first half of the year was a Tale of 2 Markets...
-Best of times: US large cap growth stocks, short duration bonds, US Dollar -Worst of times: Small caps, value, international, long duration bonds, Japanese Yen Source: Charlie Bilello
