Miami tops a global list of cities most at risk of a housing bubble.
The annual UBS Global Real Estate Bubble Index for 2024, which analyzes residential property prices in 25 major cities worldwide, revealed that Miami’s soaring housing market had the highest bubble risk with an index score of 1.79 — beating Tokyo and Zurich for the top spot. Source: Chartr, UBS
Buying a rental property in America is no longer profitable.
Because the current mortgage rate (6.1%) is significantly higher than the profit/cap rate (4.4%) of rentals. This means that any investor who uses debt to finance their purchase is likely losing money on cash flow from Day 1. Note how from 2012-2022, the opposite was true. Cap Rates were higher than mortgage interest. Which is why so many people piled into single-family rentals. This is no longer the case... Will the Fed jumbo rate cut start to fix this? Source: Nick Gerli, re:venture
There are now 476,000 new homes for sale in the US, the highest inventory since February 2008.
Source: Charlie Bilello
BREAKING: China
Chinese Home Prices declined by the largest amount in history last month Source: Barchart
Value of U.S. Housing Market hits all-time high of $49.6 Trillion
Source: Barchart
U.S. Home prices hit record high of $426,900!
Source: Barchart
BREAKING: US new home sales plummeted -11.3% month-over-month to 619,000 in May, well below the estimated -0.2% decrease.
This was the largest decline since September 2022 when new home sales fell by ~14%. Year-over-year sales dropped by a whopping 16.5%, the most since February 2023. This also follows the Pending Home Sales decline to their lowest level since April 2020. Meanwhile, the supply of homes available for sale rose to 481,000, the highest since the 2008 Financial Crisis. The US housing market is slowing. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
% Increase over the last 5 years...
US Money Supply (M2): +42% Average US New Home Price: +44% "Inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon." - Milton Friedman Source: Charlie Bilello
